Tropical Storm Philippe Just Took A Wrong Turn

Tropical Storm Philippe Just Took A Wrong Turn

Philippe's convection continues to oscillate this afternoon. Shortly after the previous advisory, the convection waned and has become less organized. An ASCAT-C pass showed that the center of the system has become more ill-defined, with the low-level center difficult to pinpoint this afternoon. Convection continues to redevelop back to the east, with the expected mean center on the west side of the convection. This was further supported by an AMSR microwave overpass depicting and overall lack of organization. Subjective Dvorak data-T numbers have come down with the current intensity estimates remaining at 3.0. Given the earlier ASCAT-B pass and the CI intensity estimates, the initial intensity will is held at 45 kt, but this could be generous. Video Chapters: 0:00 - Intro 0:27 - Watching Philippe 2:30 - Latest NHC Outlook 4:44 - Latest Model Guidance 12:38 - Spaghetti Plots 15:47 - Got My DJI Mavic 3 Drone Today!!!! 17:02 - Outro/Promotion Please take this very IMPORTANT survey: https://forms.gle/VRwCg4uE2gXQBoUj9 https://www.youtube.com/@PatsPathPred... Subscriber Here For More Weather Content!!!!!    / @weatherforce2024   Todays Sponsor: https://trilogymaps.com https://prestigeweather.com/products/... 50% Discount Code: DAVID Direct Weather:    / @directweather   Join this channel to get access to perks:    / @weatherforce2024   Sacramento Weather Center Group: Facebook Page:   / 1344618369387132   WeatherForce Discord Server Grand Opening Sunday, October 1st!!!!! Disclaimer: All of my videos and live streams are for entertainment purposes only, and to discuss raw operational model guidance and its ensembles, I'm also comparing models too. So please seek official sources like the National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center, or The Weather Channel for more detailed and accurate information. My Social Medias: Facebook:   / david.schlotthauer.77   Facebook Page:   / 1344618369387132   Twitter:   / weatherunited1   Instagram:   / weatherforcedavid   TikTok:   / weatherschlottdog1995