The Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills square off under the bright lights of Thursday Night Football in a game that suddenly carries massive AFC playoff weight. Houston has fought its way back to 5 and 5 despite losing C J Stroud to a concussion, and now they welcome a Bills team fresh off a 44 to 32 shootout win over Tampa Bay. Buffalo enters at 7 and 3, still chasing the top of the AFC East, and once again leaning heavily on the MVP level play of Josh Allen. ------ LINKS - WEBSITE - https://www.footballnationusa.com ðFull predictions and Weekly Pick Ems Dollar Shave Club - https://get.aspr.app/SH1Nle - 25% Off ACORNS: - acorns.com/share/?shareable_code=DDW7H8G&first_name=Mario ------ Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm ET at NRG Stadium, where the Texans are 3 and 2 this season. Houston actually leads the all time series 7 to 5, but the Bills come in as 5.5 point favorites with a game total of 43.5. The biggest storyline entering the night is the quarterback situation for Houston. C J Stroud returned to the practice field this week, but he remains in concussion protocol and is unlikely to suit up on a short week. That means Davis Mills is expected to start again, and while his numbers donât jump off the page, he has kept Houston competitive. Mills has thrown for 726 yards and three touchdowns in four appearances, including a 274 yard performance in last weekâs win over Tennessee. The Texans offense hasnât been explosive, but Nico Collins continues to be the reliable engine of the passing attack, posting 49 catches for 642 yards and four scores this season. The challenge for Houston comes on the other side of the ball, because the Bills enter this matchup playing their best offensive football of the year. Josh Allen has been nothing short of unstoppable. Through 10 games he has completed nearly 70 percent of his passes for 2,456 yards and 18 touchdowns, while also rushing for 351 yards and an incredible 10 more scores. His three passing touchdowns and three rushing touchdowns last week made him the only player in NFL history with multiple games hitting both marks. Even when he makes mistakes, the Bills offense remains one of the most dangerous units in the league. Buffaloâs run game is also heating up, led by James Cook III, who sits just 32 yards shy of yet another 1,000 yard season. Heâs averaging over five yards per carry and already has five games over the century mark, including a monster 216 yard day against Carolina. If Buffalo stays balanced, it will push Houstonâs defense to the limit. But that Houston defense is the reason this game is so intriguing. The Texans are quietly putting together one of the best defensive seasons in football. They rank top three in points allowed, yards per play allowed, and opponent third down percentage. They have held teams like the Rams and Buccaneers to 20 points or fewer, and they have forced 10 interceptions in 10 games. Will Anderson Jr and the pass rush consistently collapse pockets and create chaos, and that is exactly what you need to even have a shot at slowing down Josh Allen. Houston has won three of its last four games, and while none of those wins have been pretty, theyâve shown toughness in late-season, grind-it-out football. Short rest games typically favor the home team, and Buffalo has been inconsistent on the road, dropping games in Miami and Atlanta while playing down to the competition. If Mills protects the ball, Collins finds room to operate, and the Texans defense continues its elite form, Houston absolutely has a path to keeping this close. But Buffaloâs ceiling is higher. When the Bills offense is rolling, they can blow the doors off anyone in the league, and if this becomes a game where Houston has to play from behind, the matchup swings heavily in Buffaloâs favor. Expect a physical, defensive-tilted battle early, an emotional crowd at NRG, and a game that stays tight well into the second half. The Texans will have opportunities to create turnovers, but the Bills have the star quarterback, the momentum, and the firepower to finish. This is Thursday Night Football, and both teams know what this one means. One side fighting to stay alive in the AFC race, the other fighting for playoff position. Buckle up.