Pandemic, Child cases and lowering fatality rates

Mexico https://www.theguardian.com/world/liv... Stage 3 trials, October, Sputnik V Several thousand volunteers will test that vaccine in our country as close as next month Contest for influence and prestige US https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/... Child cases 43 states report age data Child cases moved up to 9.5% of the cumulative cases Week ending August 27 44,000 pediatric cases Cumulative number of infected children, 476,000 NYC, 3.2% New Jersey, 3.4% Florida, 5.8% Connecticut, 5.9% Massachusetts, 6.7% Minnesota, 15.1% New Mexico, 15.7% Alaska, 15.9% North Dakota,16.0% Tennessee, 17.1% Wyoming,18.3% Children, hospitalizations 1.7% of cumulative number for all ages Hawaii, 0.6% Arizona, 4.1% Children, Mortality Nationwide, 0.07% of all COVID-19 deaths 19 of the 43 states reporting age distributions have had no deaths yet Deaths, 101 (August 27) US trends New York https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-hea... Cases down Progressive reopening Midwest, cases increasing Iowa, North Dakota and South Dakota 20% + positive test results Iowa, cases + 8,300 (last week), up 116% Minnesota, cases up 27% last week Indiana, cases up 35% UK Increasing cases England, NHS Test and Trace, 20 August and 26 August https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronav... https://assets.publishing.service.gov... Cases, weekly + 6,732 Highest since May Up 6% on week before Contacts reached, down to 69.4% from 77.1%. High cases, low deaths (Dr. Andrew Bayliff) ‘First wave’ Most testing hospital based Patients presenting with relatively severe symptoms Self-selecting sample Biased towards older patients with comorbidities Most positive cases never tested, therefore undiagnosed Many asymptomatic and mild cases ‘Current wave’ Much more testing Many via track and trace Therefore picking up a representative sample of the total infected population Mortality rates for recent ‘cases’ will be biased more towards the statistically true outcomes i.e. the true IFR Testing rate is more than x100 from the early weeks ‘chalk and cheese’ ‘apples and oranges” Q and A Will this vaccine change my DNA? Contact tracing apps can sharply reduce the spread of Covid-19 even when only a few people use them https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.11... Non-pharmaceutical interventions Google and Oxford University An app used by 15% of the population Together with a well-staffed contact-tracing workforce Can lead to a 15% drop in infections And an 11% drop in deaths Google and Apple. Bluetooth signals Anonymously notifies a person if someone they met contracts Covid-19 Past few weeks Six US states Two dozen countries No major hitches Thailand First locally transmitted case in 100 days Prison inmate was diagnosed Dozens of contacts are now being tested Arrested for drug offences on 26 August