Forex Lens: AUDUSD - Live Trade - Techniocal Geopolitical breakdown

🔹 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — AUDUSD (1D) 1. Price just rejected the previous high at 0.67666. You can see the wick — buyers tried to break structure and failed. That’s a clear exhaustion signal at resistance. 2. The 20/21 EMAs are still supporting the move… but momentum is slowing. AUD is above the EMAs, yes — but the candles are showing indecision + long wicks, which normally signals a turn or a range forming. 3. Your decision zones are crystal clear: Resistance: 0.67666 Mid-support: 0.67024 Key support: 0.66798 Deep support: 0.66220 The next real move happens at one of these levels — everything in between is noise. 4. If price closes below 0.67024 → correction phase begins. This would be your first clean sign that AUD buyers are losing control. 5. If price CLOSES above 0.67666 → bullish continuation opens. Not a wick… a close. Otherwise it’s just liquidity hunting. 🔹 MACRO ANALYSIS — AUDUSD PRESSURE VS SUPPORT AUD Bullish Forces (supporting AUD strength): Iron ore demand from Asia (still elevated) China stimulus measures Strong commodity rotation Australia’s stable economic backdrop Rising gold/silver (AUD correlation) AUD Bearish Forces (weighing on AUD): USD safe-haven flows (depending on the day) BOJ + CHF bond surges pulling some capital OUT of AUD DXY short-term weakness helping AUD… but it’s fragile Geopolitical pressure → risk-off hurts AUD faster than USD Right now? AUD is riding commodity strength, but fighting global safe-haven flows. That’s why you’re seeing wicks — the market is undecided. 🔹 PROBABILITY MODEL (Your style) Bullish continuation above 0.67666: 35% Range between 0.67024–0.67666: 45% Bearish correction to 0.66798 or 0.66220: 20% 🔹 SUMMARY (MuaddibTrader Tone) AUDUSD hit resistance and failed to break through. Momentum is still supported by EMAs, but buyer strength is slowing. Watch 0.67024 — a break below signals correction. Watch 0.67666 — a close above signals continuation. This pair is currently caught between commodity strength and global safe-haven rotation. Created with Wondershare Filmora